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this post was submitted on 25 Apr 2024
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Yes, like I said, assuming complete good faith. But even then, laying down their arms wouldn't mean that fighters for their cause would no longer exist; it would simply mean that a better-organized Palestinian military would take its place.
My point isn't "Five year truce bad", it's "Five year truce good but there ARE reasons to not accept it even from an abstract standpoint"
A better organized Palestinian military is a natural consequence of independence. And ideally yes, the best trained Hamas fighters will be joining it and be under government control, fighting against the hardliner splinters to enforce the hypothetical Independence Peace agreement, rather than being the hardliner splinters.
The road to peace will be very very messy. It is the bed Israel made and has to sleep on. The time when a relatively clean, peaceful transition to 2SS could have happened was right after Oslo. But here we are and it's either a super messy transition to 2SS that will require nerves of steel to not intervene in the civil war, or a super messy transition transition to a democratic post-apartheid 1SS that will also require nerves of steel and a political and cultural transformation. Or ... the ethnic cleansing, which hardliners in both Israel and Palestine dream of and we all dread.