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/c/CFB Poll Top 25 Fanaticus
1. Penn State Penn State
2. Ohio State Ohio State
3. Georgia Georgia
4. LSU LSU
5. Iowa State Iowa State
6. Oregon Oregon
7. Miami Miami
8. Tennessee Tennessee
9. South Carolina South Carolina
10. Michigan Michigan
11. Arizona State Arizona State
12. Kansas Kansas
13. Illinois Illinois
14.Texas Texas
15. Florida Florida
16. Ole Miss Mississippi
17. USC USC
T-18. Notre Dame Notre Dame
T-18. Florida State Florida State
20. SMU SMU
T-21. Arizona Arizona
T-21. Maryland Maryland
23. Texas A&M Texas A&M
T-24. Utah Utah
T-24. Purdue Purdue

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Week 2 c/cfb Poll (fanaticus.social)
submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by m0d0fm15ch13f@fanaticus.social to c/cfb@fanaticus.social
9 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Our top ten saw fewer upsets than the AP, but we still had some. Who will be on the banner after the dust settles for week 1? You can help decide here: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc8NFsNvzr51rjxe5WE_WRWbrhkAMrX6pWjex1dacaiplQSsQ/viewform?usp=header

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[–] anhydrous@lemmy.world 4 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Finally got around to making an algorithm. Methodology: Combine team W-L record with "best win"; helps to neuter complications with teams having played a different number of games. Unfortunately, there's not a lot of data yet, so there's not a lot to differentiate 1-0 teams from one another.

The algorithm gives me:

  • 1: Iowa State, by a small margin (they beat someone who also beat someone else)
  • 2-T: Arizona
  • 2-T: Kansas
  • 4-T: 80-something-way tie

Observations:

  • It has South Alabama above Alabama
  • Hawai'i is also above Alabama

After some human-bias-led tie-breaking:

  1. Iowa State
  2. Kansas
  3. Arizona
  4. an Ohio State
  5. LSU

...

  1. Texas Tech
[–] g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.world 1 points 6 days ago

It has South Alabama above alabama

So what's the problem here?

[–] g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.world 1 points 5 days ago

Alright, finally got around to my 100% human poll.

  1. Penn State
  2. Ohio State
  3. Georgia
  4. Texas
  5. LSU
  6. Oregon
  7. Miami (FL)
  8. Florida
  9. Notre Dame
  10. Tennessee
  11. Oklahoma
  12. Arizona State
  13. South Carolina
  14. Illinois
  15. Texas A&M
  16. Ole Miss
  17. Michigan
  18. USC
  19. Alabama
  20. SMU
  21. Utah
  22. Iowa State
  23. Texas Tech
  24. USF
  25. Auburn
[–] WVbrU@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I can't access the linked spreadsheet. Did you mean to link the form?

[–] g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

I did indeed, that should be fixed now. And that spreadsheet should also now be open to anyone with the link

[–] WVbrU@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago (2 children)

My computer is definitely capable of putting together a coherent ranking based off of a single full week of football, despite knowing nothing about any of the teams except the scores for this season's games. Therefore, you should take this computer ranking very seriously!

  1. Maryland
  2. Penn State
  3. USC
  4. Purdue
  5. Iowa State
  6. Michigan
  7. Washington
  8. Auburn
  9. Kansas
  10. Georgia
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Ohio State
  13. Tennessee
  14. Mississippi State
  15. Michigan State
  16. Wisconsin
  17. Texas A&M
  18. Indiana
  19. LSU
  20. Nebraska
  21. South Carolina
  22. Minnesota
  23. Utah
  24. Arizona
  25. TCU

Full Rankings

Rank Team Record Rating SOS
1 Maryland (1-0) 1101 936
2 Penn State (1-0) 1100 929
3 USC (1-0) 1099 917
4 Purdue (1-0) 1098 910
5 Iowa State (2-0) 1096 675
6 Michigan (1-0) 1094 935
7 Washington (1-0) 1094 935
8 Auburn (1-0) 1093 946
9 Kansas (2-0) 1093 700
10 Georgia (1-0) 1092 917
11 Ole Miss (1-0) 1092 917
12 Ohio State (1-0) 1091 973
13 Tennessee (1-0) 1091 946
14 Mississippi State (1-0) 1091 918
15 Michigan State (1-0) 1091 917
16 Wisconsin (1-0) 1091 917
17 Texas A&M (1-0) 1089 940
18 Indiana (1-0) 1089 928
19 LSU (1-0) 1088 949
20 Nebraska (1-0) 1087 960
21 South Carolina (1-0) 1087 950
22 Minnesota (1-0) 1087 921
23 Utah (1-0) 1083 964
24 Arizona (1-0) 1081 974
25 TCU (1-0) 1081 939
26 California (1-0) 1076 928
27 Florida State (1-0) 1074 963
28 Rutgers (1-0) 1074 934
29 Virginia (1-0) 1074 916
30 Kentucky (1-0) 1073 927
31 Georgia Tech (1-0) 1072 948
32 Western Kentucky (2-0) 1071 628
33 Tulane (1-0) 1070 967
34 Temple (1-0) 1069 904
35 South Florida (1-0) 1067 927
36 NC State (1-0) 1064 946
37 Illinois (1-0) 1063 400
38 Oregon (1-0) 1061 400
39 Miami (1-0) 1058 947
40 UCF (1-0) 1058 933
41 Florida (1-0) 1058 400
42 Missouri (1-0) 1058 400
43 Wake Forest (1-0) 1056 933
44 Wyoming (1-0) 1054 911
45 Arkansas (1-0) 1053 400
46 App State (1-0) 1052 930
47 Rice (1-0) 1052 930
48 Utah State (1-0) 1052 921
49 Vanderbilt (1-0) 1050 400
50 UNLV (2-0) 1049 628
51 Texas State (1-0) 1047 906
52 BYU (1-0) 1043 400
53 Texas Tech (1-0) 1043 400
54 Oklahoma (1-0) 1042 400
55 Boston College (1-0) 1040 400
56 Iowa (1-0) 1040 400
57 Pittsburgh (1-0) 1039 400
58 Central Michigan (1-0) 1034 931
59 West Virginia (1-0) 1034 400
60 North Texas (1-0) 1031 400
61 Navy (1-0) 1027 400
62 Louisville (1-0) 1023 400
63 UConn (1-0) 1023 400
64 Houston (1-0) 1016 400
65 Memphis (1-0) 1016 400
66 San Diego State (1-0) 1016 400
67 SMU (1-0) 1016 400
68 Duke (1-0) 1015 400
69 Oklahoma State (1-0) 1011 400
70 Arizona State (1-0) 1010 400
71 Air Force (1-0) 1008 400
72 Tulsa (1-0) 1007 400
73 Fresno State (1-1) 999 1002
74 UAB (1-0) 998 400
75 James Madison (1-0) 996 400
76 Florida International (1-0) 995 400
77 Washington State (1-0) 992 400
78 UL Monroe (1-0) 989 400
79 Louisiana Tech (1-0) 983 400
80 Arkansas State (1-0) 981 400
81 Liberty (1-0) 981 400
82 South Alabama (1-0) 981 400
83 Troy (1-0) 981 400
84 Delaware (1-0) 980 400
85 New Mexico State (1-0) 979 400
86 Hawai'i (1-1) 974 1020
87 Texas (0-1) 973 1091
88 Bowling Green (1-0) 973 400
89 Kent State (1-0) 970 400
90 Northern Illinois (1-0) 970 400
91 Northwestern (0-1) 967 1070
92 UCLA (0-1) 964 1083
93 Alabama (0-1) 963 1074
94 Cincinnati (0-1) 960 1087
95 Stanford (0-1) 958 974
96 Virginia Tech (0-1) 950 1087
97 Kansas State (1-1) 950 748
98 Clemson (0-1) 949 1088
99 Colorado (0-1) 948 1072
100 Notre Dame (0-1) 947 1058
101 Baylor (0-1) 946 1093
102 Syracuse (0-1) 946 1091
103 East Carolina (0-1) 946 1064
104 UTSA (0-1) 940 1089
105 North Carolina (0-1) 939 1081
106 Florida Atlantic (0-1) 936 1101
107 Colorado State (0-1) 935 1094
108 New Mexico (0-1) 935 1094
109 Ohio (0-1) 934 1074
110 Jacksonville State (0-1) 933 1058
111 Kennesaw State (0-1) 933 1056
112 San José State (0-1) 931 1034
113 Charlotte (0-1) 930 1052
114 Louisiana (0-1) 930 1052
115 Nevada (0-1) 929 1100
116 Old Dominion (0-1) 928 1089
117 Oregon State (0-1) 928 1076
118 Toledo (0-1) 927 1073
119 Boise State (0-1) 927 1067
120 Buffalo (0-1) 921 1087
121 UTEP (0-1) 921 1052
122 Southern Miss (0-1) 918 1091
123 Missouri State (0-1) 917 1099
124 Georgia State (0-1) 917 1092
125 Marshall (0-1) 917 1092
126 Miami (OH) (0-1) 917 1091
127 Western Michigan (0-1) 917 1091
128 Coastal Carolina (0-1) 916 1074
129 Akron (0-1) 911 1054
130 Ball State (0-1) 910 1098
131 Georgia Southern (0-1) 910 999
132 Eastern Michigan (0-1) 906 1047
133 Massachusetts (0-1) 904 1069
134 Army (0-1) 896 400
135 Middle Tennessee (0-1) 875 400
136 Sam Houston (0-2) 857 1060
[–] g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.world 2 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Thought that was just a standard disclaimer then just about did a spit take seeing your number one. But hey, any poll that has the vols higher than the AP is a good poll if you ask me.

[–] WVbrU@lemmy.world 2 points 6 days ago

Haha, it was surprising to say the least! My wife went to UMD so she isn't complaining. 😂

[–] WVbrU@lemmy.world 1 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

I ran out of characters to explain my computer poll. It is based off of an ELO rating system with a few additions/adjustments to compensate for the relatively few games per team, limited cross-conference games, and FCS opponents:

  • The season is run many times, with ratings being reeled back most of the way to the average rating (1000).

  • Performance against the computer's expected spread is taken into account (to an extent). This means a winning team can still lose rating points, but that's not very common.

  • Conferences get a pseudo-rating based on non-conference games. This is used to adjust expectations for those games.

  • All FCS teams are assumed to have a 400 rating. (I've tried rating them, but I haven't figured out how to prevent ratings inflation.)

This algorithm does not know or care about individual players, advanced stats, or historical performance. All it knows about each game is the week, teams playing, and scores. Every team (and conference) starts at 1000 rating.