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this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2024
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LLMs are fundamentally a dead end though. If we ever create AGI, it will be a qualitatively different thing from an LLM.
It's not obvious to me as to why this is for 100% certainty going to be the case. Even if it's likely true, there's still a chance it might not be.
It is
Zero chance IBMs most likely word predictor will become anything more than what it is programmed to be. It is not magic, witches dont exist.
So it is so because you say it's so? Okay. I remain unconvinced.
People were being shown deus ex machina in supposedly sci-fi movies and series for many years.
Only there it was always meant as 1 in a billion event, as a miracle.
Here a lot of people want to streamline miracles, while even one hasn't been produced yet.
It's the difference between Tolkien's dwarves and Disney's gnomes.