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Is Google going to make Android a nightmare?
(arachnoid.com)
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Aren't there over a hundred OEMs shipping models with their own Android builds? Google will have to convince every single phone manufacturer to lock down their devices the way it wants, which doesn't seem very easy.
Yes. Everyone can just release a tweaked Android version and Google can't really stop them.
But if you plan to ship Google services (including the play store, which effectively makes a device an "Android device" in many users eyes) then you will have to be able to pass Googles verification suite.
That's already the case today and adding new requirements to that in new Android versions happens all the time.
Not when all of them, from a business pov, need to be able to run Google services. As a case study we saw how brutal it was for Huawei to be locked out.