this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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It's not a world ending strike. It's 2.3% odds that a city ending strike lands somewhere on earth, most likely in the ocean.
It's a fraction of a fraction of a % that it'll hit somewhere with any humans at all, much less a populated city.
And on top of that, we have until 2032 to decide what to do about it, with enough time to potentially redirect it with technology we've already demonstrated that works. And if that isn't enough, we just need one or two more data points to figure out almost exactly where it will hit, and can evacuate the area.
Just like we do for hurricanes and other natural disasters.
This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.
So it's going to be horribly fumbled in the stupidest manner possible and will definitely become a worldwide disaster. Got it.
45/47 is going to shoot down anything that tries to divert it, then. Gotcha.
The one caveat is, it’s going to be out of visual range soon and we won’t get any more info for a few years
The caveat to THAT is that we do have historical data, and if we can find one or more images confirmed to be the target, we could narrow it down without additional imaging.
The only thing to ever have a higher score than this one on the Torino scale (before further calculations reclassified it as a 0) is scheduled to come close by in 2029. Should be interesting to watch, at least.
City ending will cause weather chaos and possibly radioactive fallout.
But the funny part is that you think 2032 is enough time. Humans are USELESS when we need to do large international projects to a deadline.
You're clearly falling for the clickbait articles. This is not a world ender and will not cause radioactive fallout. Read better articles.
The earths crust has radioactive material. Anything that fires loads of it into the sky could cause fallout. It surely depends where it lands, but it's also not outside the realm of possibility.
Edit: you're probably right.
Idk what to say. I am reading articles directly from NASA and other reputable sources, and it says the damage would be bad for a city but localized. I haven't seen a single thing about fallout. So if you have some articles you'd like to share that says otherwise, by all means please share them. However the experts aren't saying that so idk.
I feel like this is a microcosm of the internet.
There's like zero trust in letting lifelong experts tell you what's going on, and how to respond. And nodding your head. I guess people have always had their own takes, questionable sources and such for millenia, but it feels like we've passed a threshold.
No one trusts institutions so they assume that the experts are lying to them to further some political agenda or whatever. Add in AI bullshit that has flooded the Internet, so no one trusts articles anymore. Also most people just simply don't have good critical thinking skills. It's all really bad.
That's not how this works, that's not how any of this works