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Monty rule problem (lemmy.world)
submitted 1 year ago by pory@lemmy.world to c/196@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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[-] acwern@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago

Overthinking it is exactly what leads to the solution "no" imo. If you say no every time, then you can only possibly be correct 1/3 of the time since it's a 1/3 chance of picking the correct door. Hence 2/3 of the time you picked incorrectly and hence should switch. By design if you pick incorrectly then the switched door will be the correct solution

this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2023
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