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I think I would be surprised if it is in the double digits. With that said, I wouldn't expect it to have been in full force in June. Many people kept using it until the apps ran out. But I do think the people that really care is a relatively small group.
What I would love to be able to see is:
-The change in numbers for the official reddit app
-The change in traffic through July
-The change in content creation through July
I honestly expect the numbers to be 5-10% but I doubt we'll ever get reliable numbers for most of it.
True, and you're absolutely right. As much as we'd love it, Reddit would gain nothing for telling us how much damage we caused, and we're likely never to see the numbers to prove it. I was fairly optimistic with 30%, that's more a wish/dream rather than reality. I might be satisfied if we see 5-10%.