Transgender

I think the anti-trans activists coming up with the policies are aware of trans men and have crafted this policy to stoke moral panic and to keep trans people out of public life.

I think it really depends. There are some leaders/influencers who know exactly what they're doing, and are using this moral panic as a engagement tool. Maybe some do have the idea of forcefully detransitioning the incarcerated, with a kind of Mike Pence attitude to it (who is much more supportive of conversion therapy than most people are aware of).

But (speaking as someone with some very evangelical southern US family), I think some supporters really are thinking of this from the "protect vunerable women" perspective. This thread weaves through everything, their whole ideology and perception of people... Women are supposed to need and accept men's protection and direction. So of course these scary "biological men" should be removed from their bathrooms, while being with "biological women" still fits that idealistic fantasy until they actually look at a picture like this. But that will never often happen because staying intellectually sheltered is part of the culture. Women are conditioned to not bluntly point out stuff like this.