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This confirms the narrative his machine has been pushing. It can't help but mobilize his base.
Morally and legally it's the right thing to do. Politically, I'm not sure - I don't know what would be better, but this will likely help him in the short/medium term.
Before I write this, I want one thing to be clear. I find Trump to an absolutely repugnant person, and elevating him to the Presidency has debased the office. I found him unfit for office in 2016, and I don’t believe he should be eligible for 2024.
For better or worse, however, there are a couple of truths about this whole mess as it currently stands. A former President is being prosecuted by the Justice Department of a political rival’s administration. It’s the right thing to do, but it does create a certain precedent that could be disastrous for our democracy. I think Biden saw that, and I think that’s why the Justice Department has waited this long to do anything about it. If his polling numbers were garbage, and he was unlikely to get the Republican nomination, I doubt he’d be getting prosecuted to avoid the appearance of political persecution.
Luckily though, I don’t think Trump is popular enough among independent voters to win the office. Until more polling comes out to tell me otherwise, I don’t think he can beat Biden. He’ll take the Republican primaries in a landslide, but once he needs the independent vote, I doubt he’ll perform nearly as well.
It’ll be a real mess if he catches a conviction too. The man is a walking constitutional crisis.
What happens if he wins the primary, and then is convicted and ineligible for the office? Does the RNC just pick the runner up or what?
They change the eligibility with their majority supreme court.