this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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You're right, I flubbed my calculation. The probability of at least two winning is 87.04%.
For your other question, the key words are at least. The probability of at least one die winning, which includes the probability of more dice also winning (two or three).
I'm on mobile so I can't do it now, but if you're interested you could create a table of every possibility and their respective probabilities. That table should add up to exactly 100%, and you can add up all the valid combinations for a given criteria to verify the shorter math we did before.