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this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2023
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Yeah, you're not wrong. Too bad we don't have unique user data to know for sure.
That's why I sorted by active users (users who comment or post, not lurkers) instead to get a more accurate picture with the given data. For example, sh.itjust.works has more users than beehaw.org, but it's ranked below beehaw because of fewer active users.
I think eventually instances with a lot of duplicate accounts will slowly fall out of the top rankings due to inactivity. That's why I chose to look at just the top 10.