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[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 25 points 8 months ago

What if its exponential growth?

Then we should expect that in ~35 years, 200% of users will be using desktop linux.

[-] ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de 10 points 8 months ago

The math chec.....wait, no. That math doesn't check out at all.

[-] Hupf@feddit.de 12 points 8 months ago

It is an older math, Sir. I was going to let them pass.

[-] agent_flounder@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

Naw, it just means everyone will have two Linux computers!

[-] A_Random_Idiot@lemmy.world 4 points 8 months ago

I mean, I currently have 3 linux computers.. sooooo...

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Ok, fine, I'll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

Gives us a fit of..

0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

So..

Correct the equation and solve for x

x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

Calculate the actual year

year_target = 2013 + x_target

print(year_target)

In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

[-] ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de 2 points 8 months ago

If you don't think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago

Isn't that the point of the exponent in the exponential function?

[-] Tlaloc_Temporal@lemmy.ca 3 points 8 months ago

Linux on the main and second computers‽ Wow!

[-] Fedizen@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago
[-] AlecStewart1st@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

2060 - The True and Definitive Year of the Linux Desktop (maybe, probably not but hopefully)

this post was submitted on 01 Mar 2024
494 points (96.8% liked)

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