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Steam is a ticking time bomb
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I'm glad that the author recognized the actual root cause of their argument, which is that Capitalism is bad and ruins everything, but why blame Steam for essentially just existing in a Capitalist world? They didn't choose that, and they're certainly doing a hell of a lot more than almost any other company their size that I can think of to resist shitty Capitalist practices.
It really feels like this author is just saying, "they're resisting anti-consumer enshittification practices now, so the only place to go is down, ergo 'timebomb'!".
"Every person who isn't a murderer is just a murder away from becoming a murderer. Timebomb!"
Never thought about it that way, welp, might as well get it over with.
The difference between Valve and almost every other company that suffers from "capitalism" is that Valve is a private company, they don't have shareholders, investors and an outsider asshole CEO demanding enshittification in the name of exponential growth.
The issue is Steam and Valve being held up as the ‘one good company’, when there are plenty of examples to the contrary. Valve does many of the same practices as Epic, EA, etc., but there’s a double standard with Valve because it’s the default experience. The inevitable decline of Steam is going to be much worse after people spent a decade giving it a free pass on lesser issues.
What specifically are you envisioning? If this is just a general kind of, "the bigger they are, the harder they fall" supposition, I don't think that really holds any water; it's just a platitude. If anything, Steam being so ubiquitous could more easily make it's eventual decline a catalyst for legislation to give software license ownership stronger consumer protections. The idea that we should either condemn it now or stop using it, before its decline, makes no sense to me. Is GOG better? Sure. Can it fully replace Steam? No. Is Steam better than Epic, Origin, UPlay? Absolutely. I'm just not sure what the real point of all this condemnation is when they're by far trying, by and large, to treat consumers well. It's just blaming Valve for not being totally and eternally immune to the effects of Capitalism.
No one claims this. The only thing remotely close to that which people claim is that Valve is uniquely positioned to be one of the best digital games distribution platforms due to its private ownership insulating it against shareholder demands (which is by far the largest driver of enshittification), which is also true for GOG, but obviously Valve is still beating them out in capacity and capability currently.
Of course, it's a company. But it's still a billion times better than most of its competitors.
A sane and reasonable take? On the internet?
it's more likely than you think
It'll be fine until they go public (though maybe a few billion is enough for gaben and they won't, but I'm not banking on it), then it'll be an inevitable decline like all the others.
Whatever Gaben thinks, he won't live forever. The moment leadership changes, we'll see how money thirsty the new bosses are.
"Every person who isn't a murderer is just a murder away from becoming a murderer. Timebomb!"
I get your point, but this metaphor would be more applicable if historically every human on earth murdered someone during their lifetime. I think Steam/Valve will remain the same as long as their current leadership is in place. 999 times out of 1000, once the original founders are gone, any company begins the enshittification process, whether it's a major business like Valve or a local chain of grocery stores.
Sure, and when that happens we should (and many will) abandon the platform. But since, as you seem to be implying, all businesses under Capitalism will eventually enshittify, there's no point abandoning it beforehand, because any alternative you move to will also eventually do so.
I didn't say anything about abandoning it, just that it's bound to happen eventually like with any other business unlike people and murder.
The difference between a person and a corporation... is that once a corporation goes public, it's like having a person whose only goal in life is to get as much money as possible, no matter how. Those people usually end up in jail; corporations, not so much.
On the other hand, something like 2/3 of businesses "fail", or close, during the first 10 years, never going public. The ones surviving... are the ones that probably should be in "jail" 🤷