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when they decided to violate the Budapest Memorandum everything went out the door, including russia's future. it's going to be very, very hard to ever get back to the economic or industrial positions they occupied previously.
their people will suffer, and the only way it will end is if they hang putin from a light pole.
Unfortunately even that wouldn't solve it. There is no successor. This is on purpose so there's no motive to hang Putin from a light pole. If he goes, it's nuclear-armed Yugoslavia, or at least musical chairs coups, because there's so many people with an equally legitimate claim to the throne.
Short of time travel there's no obvious way to keep things normal. The "lose nicely" thing is basically fueled by wishful thinking that maybe, if the West is nice and measured enough, we'll get lucky. (Which you could argue is what got us here)
oh well, guess we should all roll over and just let putin fuck everyone right?
NAH. I'd rather go out fighting.
That's not what I said.
What economic positions did they occupy, exactly? All they had were raw resources - coal, oil, gas, and maybe wheat. They can't produce anything else of value.
resource extraction for sure. some tourism? but resource extraction was the vast bulk.