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Study finds 268% higher failure rates for Agile software projects
(www.theregister.com)
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This is why you should always visualise and multiply by 4 when people ask for an estimate. If someone gives me a ticket that's expected to take me 1 day I'll let them know it's very likely not going to be done in 1 day but rather 4 which I'll finish comfortably in 3.
Ranking devs is toxic though
"Never tell them how long it will really take! How else will people see you as a miracle worker?" - Scotty
Underpromise overdeliver