You are probably right about those who are for Trump simply because they won't share any of the concerns Arab Americans have, just like with any minority that votes for Trump, they tend to be out of touch with their group. But for Biden I think not, because until October 2023 Biden or at least the Democratic Party had mainstream support among Arab Americans and the ADC has been around for decades. But since then there has been a true backlash, Biden lost people who were passionate supporters, campaigners and donors.

Maysoon Zayid, a Palestinian American comedian, did everything she could to get Joe Biden elected in 2020.

She starred in a comedy event boosting him. She spoke on a call organized by the Biden campaign featuring Arab women supporting him. Biden’s team even touted her endorsement in a press release.

But after watching how Biden has navigated the Israel-Hamas war over the last two weeks, Zayid said she can no longer vote for him in 2024.

‘The man broke my heart’: Biden’s Arab-American boosters begin to leave his side

Edit:

The Arab American Institute also have their polling methodology and Biden drops to 17%, higher than 7% but this is older data from November 2023 when people still had hope Biden would do the right thing:

Not everyone feels the same. Back in the U.S., Palestinian and Arab Americans have expressed outrage over Biden’s response to Israel’s bombardment of Gaza, which has killed more than 8,000 people, more than a quarter of them children. The first national poll of Arab Americans since the war in Gaza began shows how deep that sense of betrayal goes, with only 17% of Arab American voters saying they will vote for Biden in 2024—a staggering drop from 59% in 2020.

“This is the most dramatic shift over the shortest period of time that I’ve ever seen,” James Zogby, the founder and president of the Arab American Institute, which released the poll on Tuesday, tells TIME.

Biden’s Gaza Stance Spurs Stunning Drop in Arab American Support