this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2025
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AI

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Artificial intelligence (AI) is intelligence demonstrated by machines, unlike the natural intelligence displayed by humans and animals, which involves consciousness and emotionality. The distinction between the former and the latter categories is often revealed by the acronym chosen.

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Authors:

Daniel Kokotajlo (TIME100, NYT piece) is a former OpenAI researcher whose previous AI predictions have held up well.

Eli Lifland co-founded AI Digest, did AI robustness research, and ranks #1 on the RAND Forecasting Initiative all-time leaderboard.

Thomas Larsen founded the Center for AI Policy and did AI safety research at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute.

Romeo Dean is completing a computer science concurrent bachelor’s and master’s degree at Harvard and previously was an AI Policy Fellow at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy.

Scott Alexander, blogger extraordinaire, volunteered to rewrite our content in an engaging style; the fun parts of the story are his and the boring parts are ours.

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[–] tunetardis@piefed.ca 3 points 1 day ago

I don't know about the AI projections, but the idea that the current US administration would have a reasoned, thoughtful response to any emerging threat from AI or react in a constructive way to widespread public protests over it is what strains credulity for me.

[–] NuclearDolphin@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago

Stupid masturbatory fantasy exactly like you'd expect by the morons with those resumes. Equal parts delusional and racist.

[–] TragicNotCute@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago

I found this to be an excellent if not somewhat terrifying read. I’m curious which parts seem likely and if there’s any parts you didn’t find believable.