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Only three or four were said to have be shot down and one drone flew 160 miles into the country, forcing the closure of four airports.
Uhhhh... that's real bad. 250km into the country that they aren't supposed to be in? WTF air defense?
Yeah it's piss poor. They shot down 4 out of 19. There's some speculation that they didn't want to reveal the location of air defence batteries but honestly it smells like ass coverage.
whatever was shot down was shot by fighter jets, not gbad
everyone is terrified of the possibility of russia doing the things russia is already doing.
the explanation that was given at the time was that drones that were assessed as armed were shot down near border (like the one that blew off roof - it was strictly speaking debris after shootdown) but decoys were allowed to crash on their own
Woah, they can tell the difference? That's... odd.
modern radar can measure speed, size, altitude of target and count turbine blades, allowing to figure out what it is. well, rotational speed of propeller in this case but logic is the same
So a laden drone is slower or using more throttle? That's the only way I can figure they would do it 'cause it's going to be hard to weigh something in the air in the next couple minutes.
either they used that or whatever was shot down looked completely different
Yeah, I assumed the decoys were of the same make and model as the laden ones. That's not necessarily true.
And the US will contribute... uh..
thoughts and prayers if you're lucky, best that they can do now is vagueposting
This was an obvious in-your-face test. I'm not sure the strategic response should be open defense, STFU and lay low instead.
Say someone is hunting me in the woods and pops a few off, no real danger to me. If I shoot back, they know where I'm at, or at least discern how I will react. Why would I do anything but lay low and draw them in? Does that make sense?
And this is why I'm not involved in foreign affairs decision making. Well, that and barely at "bright normal" IQ. :)
The difference is if you were being hunted, both you and the hunter can change positions. Russia knows where Poland is and Poland can't really do anything about that but make it more difficult to get to them. If there were no action taken to bolster the defensive front and Russia made a bigger play, everyone would ask why Poland did nothing to prevent it.
I don't think the Poland and nato are showing anything to Russia that can be used against them. Sure if Russia is determined, they could study the response and try to coordinate an attack or something, but it would likely be responded much faster than if there wasn't already support in the region.
Great thoughts! Especially about the ability to move. My only counter would be to say Russia is testing the EU's coordination and willpower. Guess that was what I should have said.
My previous employer cut the Poland division they acquired shortly after the Russian invasion hit, they considered the area too risky to invest because of the possibility of war.