this post was submitted on 17 Sep 2025
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Neat breakdown with data + some code.

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[–] Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)

To be fully self sufficient you have to meet your energy consumption during the most cloudy days in winter.

2 days storage gives you a 5% chance of a blackout at some point during the year.

4 days storage gives you a 1% chance of a blackout at some point during the year.

You will not get to 0%.

[–] seejur@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You will not get 0%.

I see we are including the nuclear winter scenarios!

Actually, I was thinking volcanos. They can reduce sunlight over a large area for prolonged periods.

[–] anon_8675309@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago

We have a whole home generator that runs in natural gas. They’re not the quietest things. Been tossing around the idea of having batteries added so that when the power cuts we go to battery. Then when the battery gets low the generator cuts on just long enough to charge the batteries. Wash rinse repeat.

[–] BombOmOm@lemmy.world 74 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (39 children)

they generate about 3,800kWh per year. We also use about 3,800kWh of electricity each year

Obviously, we can't use all the power produced over summer and we need to buy power in winter. So here's my question: How big a battery would we need in order to be completely self-sufficient?

O, god, it's going to be huge. You really can't do the off-grid thing unless you have enough power production to satiate you over any given 3-day moving window. Trying to store power from summer until winter is going to be too expensive, instead buy more panel.

This isn't even going into the fact batteries lose charge slowly. So any power generated in summer will be much diminished by winter, even if you have big enough batteries.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 27 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (8 children)

Seems to me his panel capacity is to small anyway.
We have 11 kWh panels, and yes in the summer we routinely produce 4 times more than we use, and we have a 7.5 kWh battery But November December and January it's not even close to enough.

In the Winter you can easily have a week with near zero production:
Our Import / export from grid last year:
November 215 / 59 kWh
December 300 15 kWh
January 268 / 34 kWh

Despite we have almost 3 times the capacity, and produce more than twice what we use per year, and we have a decent battery and believe it or not, even the shortest day we can produce enough power for a whole 24 hour day if it's a clear day! But we can also have clouds for 14 days!
But for those months we imported 783 kWh and exported 108 that could have been used with bigger battery. But the net import was still 675 kWh!! For those 3 months, and that's the minimum size battery we could have managed with, and then we even need 10% extra to compensate for charge/discharge losses.

TLDR:
Minimum 740 kWh battery in our case, and that's without heating, because we use wood pellets.

That means it would require at least the equivalent of 10 high end fully electric car batteries. But also a very hefty inverter, which AFAIK ads about 50% the price of the battery.

PS: Already in February we exported more than we imported.

[–] edent@lemmy.world 13 points 3 days ago (1 children)

(Author here) As I say in my post, our roof is full. We have 16x 320 Watt panels - 8 on each side of the roof.

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[–] AA5B@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

There was an article posted somewhere on Lemmy a few months back where someone tried to do similar calculations for the US as a whole. What I took from the result was 95% renewable was achievable and still cheaper than fossil fuels. However the over provisioning of renewables and over double the storage needed to reliably achievable 100% made that infeasible with today’s proving and technology. Basically you can install storage to cover when the sun is not shining but it’s much more difficult to cover weeks of gloominess

[–] JcbAzPx@lemmy.world 5 points 2 days ago

Solar isn't the only renewable choice, though. It's just the easiest to do on an individual level. Also, there are plenty of areas for which weeks of gloominess will never (on human timescales) be an issue.

[–] sobchak@programming.dev 9 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Guessing it would be more practical to have enough solar panels to fulfill energy needs in winter.

[–] edent@lemmy.world 4 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Not really. As I say in my article, our roof is full. On a bad day in winter, we might generate 0.5kWh (assuming the panels aren't covered in snow). So we'd need 20x the panels - there's no room for that.

[–] DampSquid@feddit.uk 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)
[–] sobchak@programming.dev 2 points 2 days ago

Hmm, I missed the part about being maxed-out on roof space. Great article and blog by the way!

[–] ratten 10 points 2 days ago (7 children)

How come we can't design energy storage that lifts something heavy when there's excess power, and lets it fall to generate electricity when needed?

[–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 6 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

We have, pump storage hydropower: https://old.reddit.com/r/askscience/comments/chm70g/askscience_ama_series_were_from_the_pacific/

Basically they store water up high to act as a battery. Some combine this with a solar lens and turbine (can be sourced from old tvs, it'sa Fresnel lens for a solar death ray) and boil the water with the sun/ray to get it to evaporate and then condensate in the elevated position.

[–] A7thStone@lemmy.world 17 points 2 days ago

It's an idea that's been played with a few times, but there are many energy loss points in such a system, as well as logistics for keeping the "stack" from falling over. The best so far is pumping water up to an artificial lake, but that's still not very efficient.

[–] edent@lemmy.world 17 points 2 days ago (4 children)

1 Watt is the equivalent of moving 1Kg 1 metre in 1 second.

If you want a kilowatt - you need to move 1,000Kg 1 metre in 1 second. Or, I guess, 1Kg a Km.

Plug the numbers together and you'll see that you need a massive physical load and a huge distance in order to store a useful amount of energy.

[–] lurker2718 1 points 1 day ago

You got your units confused.
1 Watt = 1 J/s = 1 N m/s = 1 kg m^2 / s^3
Just moving things horizontally changes does not take energy (except for friction). But when we move something upwards, we move it against the surface acceleration of earth of g = 9.81 m/s^2. So we can say:
1 W ≈ 0,1 kg m/s
This means to store 1 kW, we would need to raise e.g. 1 ton with 0.1 m/s. So 1 minute of medium power cooking (1 kW), corresponds to lifting 1 ton approximately 6 meters.

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[–] Hacksaw@lemmy.ca 15 points 2 days ago

The energy math doesn't make sense for grid scale applications with solid objects.

https://youtu.be/iGGOjD_OtAM

However if you can get water between two places it can work quite well. You need to live close to a big change in altitude and do a bit of geoengineering to create the upper and lower reservoirs, which can be destructive to local ecology, but not as much as a dam.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricity

You can also use pumped air underwater with higher energy losses than pumped storage hydro because of compatibility of air.

https://electricalindustry.ca/changing-scenes/1785-world-s-first-utility-scale-underwater-compressed-air-energy-storage-system-activated-in-lake-ontario/

[–] exasperation@lemmy.dbzer0.com 9 points 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (9 children)

Potential energy (in joules) is mass (in g) times height (in meters) times 9.8 m/s^2 .

So in order to store the 30 kWh per day that the typical American house uses, you'd need to convert the 30 kWh into 108,000,000 joules, and divide by 9.8, to determine how you'd want to store that energy. You'd need the height times mass to be about 11 million. ~~So do you take a 1500 kg weight (about the weight of a Toyota Camry) and raise it about 7.3 meters (about 2 stories in a typical residential home)?~~ (this is wrong, it's only 0.001 as much as the energy needed, see edit below)

And if that's only one day's worth of energy, how would you store a month's worth? Or the 3800kwh (13.68 x 10^9 joules) discussed in the article?

At that point, we're talking about raising 10 Camrys 93 meters into the air, just for one household. Without accounting for the lost energy and inefficiencies in the charging/discharging cycle.

Chemical energy is way easier to store.

Edit: whoops I was off by using grams instead of kg. It actually needs to be 1000 times the weight or 1000 the height. The two story Camry is around a tablet battery's worth of storage, not very much at all.

[–] lurker2718 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

There seems to be an error in your calculation: Up to the 11 000 000 kgm required it is correct. However the Toyota Camry with 7.3 m provides only 11 000 kgm. So you miss a factor of 1000. You would need 1000 cars lifted the height of your home. For just one day (or a few days in more efficient home)

You're absolutely right.

I don't know why I thought to use grams instead of kilograms. I knew kg was the base unit for these conversions but just slipped for some reason.

[–] Ledivin@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago (2 children)

So do you take a 1500 kg weight (about the weight of a Toyota Camry) and raise it about 7.3 meters (about 2 stories in a typical residential home)?

Honestly that is way, way more reasonable than I was expecting. This isn't half as bad of an idea as I thought it would be

Sorry whoops I was off by a factor of 1000 because I used grams instead of kilograms. The Camry needs to be raised 7.3 km. Or you need 1000 of them in one house.

Pumping 1500L of water up into a tower doesn't seem difficult or expensive.

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[–] SirActionSack@aussie.zone 4 points 2 days ago

It's usually called hydroelectric and implemented with dams and turbines.

[–] Clent@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Why limit it to an electric battery rather than some subterranean storage where the excess electricity is turned into stored heat.

[–] PowerCrazy@lemmy.ml 17 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (40 children)

Something very important that anti-nuclear but otherwise environmental minded people should realize is this sentence: " There's no practical way to build domestic batteries with this capacity using the technology of 2025."
Also applies to grid storage. There does not exist a chemical energy storage solution that can substitute for "baseload" power. It's purely theoretical much like fusion power. Sure maybe in 50 years, but right now IT DOESN'T EXIST. Economically, practically, or even theoretically.

Why do I bring this up? Because I've seen too many people think that solar and wind can replace all traditional power plants. But if you are anti-nuclear, you are just advocating for more fossil fuels. Every megawatt of wind or solar, has a megawatt of coal or gas behind it and thus we are increasing our greenhouse gas emission everytime we build "green" generation unless we also build Nuclear power plants. /soapbox

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 13 points 2 days ago (21 children)

It's very infuriating talking to people about this because they never really accept that nuclear power is necessary. They spend all their time complaining about how it's dangerous (it isn't) and how it's very expensive, and how you don't have a lot of control over its output capacity. And yeah, all of those are true, but so what, the only other option is to burn some dead trees which obviously we don't want to do.

Just because nuclear has downsides doesn't mean you can ignore it, unless of course you want to invent fusion just to spite me, in which case I'll be fine with that.

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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 28 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (23 children)

Basically why the grid exists to begin with. You're not supposed to be solving these engineering problems on a household budget inside a single home.

You'd be better off simply reducing your consumption or finding alternative methods of power (nat gas or maybe wind or geothermal) during the longer winter nights.

If you really want to go crazy, you should consider investing in a bigger home with better insulation and roommates. An apartment/condo block can at least leverage economies of scale, if you're dead set on DIY. More people benefiting from the setup dilutes the cost per person.

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[–] tal@olio.cafe 15 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (17 children)

What I want to do is find out what the maximum size battery I would need in order to store all of summer's electricity for use in winter.

I mean, I think that it's probably not a good idea for this guy to try to go fully off-grid if he has access to the grid, but for the sake of discussion, if one were honestly wanting to try it and one is in the UK, I'd think that one is probably rather better off adding a wind turbine, since some of the time that the sun isn't shining, the wind is blowing.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/322789/quarterly-wind-speed-average-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

Wind speed averages in the United Kingdom are generally highest in the first and fourth quarters of each calendar year – the winter months.

The UK is one of the worst places in the world in terms of solar potential:

https://globalsolaratlas.info/

But it's one of the best in terms of wind potential:

https://globalwindatlas.info/

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[–] acchariya@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago (19 children)

It's practical for someone with limited space for panels on a small room, but I ran these calculations by moving almost all loads to daytime, sizing the panel array to the (minimum daily usage + efficiency losses) * buffer factor for days long storms or equipment failure.

Start with the comparitively cheap panels if you have the space, move electrical loads to the daytime and design the house for thermal momentum, and size storage to the minimum inclusive efficiency losses times buffer. If you have the roof space the panels are the cheapest part and you should usually way, way over panel.

The most important thing is having thermal mass enough or living in a climate that allows your home to not need thermal input or extraction at night. Heat is expensive and exponentially moreso if you need to produce it from conventional storage.

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