They're undercounting / underestimating by a fair margin.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
More than 1 in 5 Wisconsin Democrats said that Israel’s war in Gaza is impacting their vote in the state’s primary on Tuesday, while 71 percent said they strongly support an immediate and permanent ceasefire, according to a new poll released on Monday.
The poll was commissioned by Listen to Wisconsin, a campaign to mobilize protest votes during the battleground state’s primary in order to push the White House to change course on its support for the war on Gaza.
According to the survey, which was conducted by Poll Progressive Strategies, nearly 26 percent of Wisconsin Democrats support that campaign, which would have voters cast a ballot for “Uninstructed delegation” rather than a candidate.
“This is a serious threat to Biden’s chances in Wisconsin if he does not meet voter’s demands and impose a permanent, immediate, and unconditional ceasefire,” Ahmad told The Intercept.
The Wisconsin poll also found that just under half of Democrats in the state strongly or even somewhat approve of Biden’s handling of the war.
Waleed Shahid, a Democratic political strategist who has advised Uncommitted campaigns in numerous states, said that the poll signals a fracture within Biden’s party.
The original article contains 553 words, the summary contains 192 words. Saved 65%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!
So... 4 out of 5 Wisconsin Democrats are genocide supporters.
I'm really worried that the Democratic leadership is shooting itself in the foot.
A significant portion of the voter base that the Democratic party is counting on has serious and legitimate problems with the policy decisions of the administration. They're making their thoughts known through all the channels they should theoretically be using; peaceful protest, petitions, letters etc.
Rather than addressing and validating any of these concerns the overwhelming response has been to ridicule those voters. People don't respond well to, "Fuck you. Do what you're told." but that's all they're getting. Whenever people point this out the typical response is more of the same. All variations of, "It doesn't really matter what you think or what you expect your elected official to do. Just shut up and vote for Biden."
Yes, I don't want to vote for a comic book buffoon version of a narcissistic business villain.... But I cannot vote for someone supporting a active genocide.
I'm morally compelled to vote for the lessor evil.
The winner takes all voting system is creating these false choices, and captures the population into a two party voting system. Ranked choice, instant run-off, etc are all better systems so we could actually vote on issues.