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Kamala Harris can't meme her way to victory. Or can she? [Nate Silver]
(www.natesilver.net)
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this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2024
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Politics
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If you have to ask, you don't understand politics. It has always been about memes /slogans/ sound bites.
Nate Silver is a prime example of this thing that happens a lot with technical people. They get good at describing what is and then they start to think they understand "why". Sometimes a good understanding can lead you to the why of a situation, but often you need actual experts to analyze the data you've collected.
The whole thing about the way his methods work is based on not actually understanding the interactions of the inputs he's selected.
His book was interesting, but I wouldn't trust his analysis too much.
Idk, I think his analysis is generally pretty measured, and I find myself appreciating his takes even when I don't agree with them. In this post, the point he makes is that memes are fleeting, and so a campaign has to keep coming up with viral memes if they want to rely on them for the long haul. That's easier said than done.The other point he makes is that the "long haul" in this case is not particularly long, and so it would be much easier for Harris to meme her way to victory in this race.
Good point on the need to keep delivering, that can be a challenge. However, if your opponent/target is a clown like trump you have a near infinite source to keep your motor running. So the validity of the argument hinges on who you face off with.