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[-] olympicyes@lemmy.world 12 points 2 months ago

Did a little digging. Found one interesting piece from Hudson institute including an opinion piece from former head of world bank. Main points: China, and Russia to a lesser extent, are prioritizing engagement with Africa both for for economic and political purposes (large UN voting bloc). China favors market rate loans over foreign aide, article suggests they cannot afford straight aid even if they wanted to. Loans from China are denominated in dollars, so strengthening USD and increasing interest rates playing a large role in debt. African nations paying more in debt repayment than receiving in aid and economic benefit. Traditional capital markets are no use to Africa because capital is flowing to developed countries and companies that already have cash. Doesn’t seem like China wants to repossess infrastructure they built, they actually want loan repayments. China doesn’t want to take write downs because they are concerned the money will be used to repay western creditors. US foreign policy is weak in Africa, infrastructure aid would go far because would improve terms from China. It’s a far more complex situation than I had thought. I plan to do more reading on the topic so I can be better informed.

https://www.hudson.org/economics/china-winning-belt-road-debt-battles-david-malpass-joshua-meservey-thomas-duesterberg

[-] freagle@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

China takes write downs all the time. It has written down over $3Bn in debt and it's restructured 5x that for countries who couldn't afford to repay on the original terms.

[-] trolololol@lemmy.world 2 points 2 months ago

When imf says aid it's not what you mean. It means loan with strings attached.

[-] olympicyes@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago

Strings meaning the repayment terms. The issue was more about which lender is going to write down bad loans, China or the west.

[-] trolololol@lemmy.world 2 points 2 months ago

Oh no way, they will tell you to nationalize assets, impose fiscal austerity and all the other things that you can hear from a corporations board room in search of records profit in the next quarter even if it means nosediving economics in 4 months.

So yep, aid is worse than loans.

this post was submitted on 06 Oct 2024
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