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submitted 2 weeks ago by btaf45@lemmy.world to c/usa@midwest.social
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[-] Varyk@sh.itjust.works 1 points 2 weeks ago

chill.out bro, I answer the questions I'm asked.

it's pretty much what I described earlier:

grassroots protests and activism, lots of political prisoners, corrupt Beijing officials being pushed into local offices,

No, it's definitely not common chill, there's a media blackout on any protests, like Beijing is literally replacing the heads of newspapers tv, radio stations, podcasts with party loyalists and trying to stem the news of the protests so that people think things have calmed down.

but people in Hong Kong are definitely fighting back.

I don't really have a prediction on how it's going to end.

xi collapsing, xi militarily invading and completely taking over Hong Kong by force, an extended guerilla war, a treaty that basically annexes Hong Kong, it's pretty difficult to tell with the amount of wealth and influence Hong Kong has versus the simultaneous waning of xi but still significant power of Chinese nationalism, The support of external countries to make sure China doesn't expand.

there are too many wildly potent variables to currently predict what's going to happen with any on out to accuracy, any one of which could completely change the entire conflict.

this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
230 points (96.4% liked)

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