A big part of the election was Republicans screaming at Democrats for being too feminine and Democrats retorting "That's good aktuly".

But compared to Biden's promise of college debt relief, climate change relief, child care and reduction of health care costs, that didn't motivate people who weren't heavily invested in the fight. Also, plus, too, we rolled back all the universal mail in voting from 2020. As Dems were the most likely to mail in their ballots, they suffered disproportionately

I'm fairly certain that a transwoman would have done even worse in polls. It does make me wonder how a transman would fare, though.