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this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2023
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My point is that nobody doing that would be doing it for free. This applies the apologia for all other empires to Russia. I.e. that empire builders do it sometimes by accident but always for benevolent reasons. That's incorrect. Empires are built by extracting wealth and to extract wealth.
I think you agree with this as I'm reading your second paragraph as sarcasm. If you do agree, then it's not possible to conclude that Russia will lose money. It may do, if it loses, although even that is questionable. If it wins, it will gain wealth. Or it's capitalists will do so. There's a contradiction between your two paragraphs.
If Russia's motivations are imperialistic (I haven't seen evidence for that, myself, but it depends on one's definition of imperialism), there would be no point if it cost more money to achieve than would be recouped after. Until it's over, it's not possible to say that it's already lost money. It's costly, but that's different, and doesn't answer, 'Costly for whom?'
(Please don't misunderstand me – I'm not saying that Russia will not exploit whatever parts of Ukraine it keeps hold of. It's capitalist. Of course it will. I'm suggesting that this war doesn't amount to a land grab simpliciter.)
One counter to this is that the US is spending money to ensure that Russia does lose money. Time will tell whether I'm right or wrong but I think this drastically overestimates the strength of the US. It doesn't have an industrial base (except in vassal and puppet states). So it cannot match Russia's military output.
And the industries the US does possess are governed by the logic of finance capital not industrial capital. Money spent does not indicate how much has been bought. $10bn spent on weapons, for instance, doesn't mean you get $10bn worth of weapons by the time you factor in all the sales teams, admin, embezzlement, and middle managers, etc.
The US seems incapable of providing Ukraine with the arms that the Ukrainian military is asking for. It's publications have started to admit this more and more. Due to the above-mentioned logics, the US doesn't have the intellectual-ideological or industrial capacity to ramp up manufacturing. The US certainly has people bright enough to figure it out but they're inconsequential in the face of a military-industrial complex designed to make as much money as possible rather than to 'win' wars.
Oh look, the “NATO is anything I don’t like” Russian apologist tankie guy is back at pulling out fake shit out of their ass.
The US is the second largest manufacturer on the planet, and insources its military production.
Ukraine is complaining that we can’t send them Soviet era military structure compatible weaponry. The US had largely phased out “dig a trench and use artillery to make a breakthrough” back in the late 80s, because we could attain air superiority against Soviet tech.
I see you're coming at me with another semantic argument. This one based on the notion that by 'doesn't have an industrial base' I can only mean 'doesn't have any industrial base'. That's a rather strange reading as it assumes I have zero grasp of logic. The existence of the tiniest fragment of industry would render my argument incorrect. It's acting in bad faith to assume I meant that.
Which leaves the search for an alternative interpretation. Such as the US doesn't have a sufficient industrial base to achieve its goals militarily in the Ukraine. The figures are hard to come by as there are lots of definitional issues. Still, trade publications and Congress are worried.
US manufacturing can be as large as it likes but if it can't join up it's thinking and produce what fighters on the front line need, it doesn't count for much. It's DIB is not set up for wars against industrialised countries that are determined to fight back. It doesn't matter what weapons and compatible ammunition the US does produce, either, if it isn't working to supply them to the people doing the fighting and isn't willing to use them itself for (rightly) being at least a little bit reluctant to start a nuclear third world war.
I'm a little skeptical of the extent of the claims about the weaknesses of the DIB and more so of the framing of the solution. The details are coming from people who want to increase the military budget (without otherwise wanting to change the underlying political economic system). Still, there does seem to be some movement to use the Ukraine war to justify costly improvements to the US DIB.
Will the changes come? And will they come in time to defeat Russia in Ukraine within a reasonable time frame? The plan will struggle against the existing contradictions unless there's a change in logic, which doesn't seem to be on the cards. So it's unlikely to be a complete success even if some fixes are implemented.
It's irrelevant whether you accept what I'm saying. I'm only summarising what the US military is saying. This is public information. If you're interested, search for 'us defense industrial base'. What I've explained is such a hot topic, you don't even need to add e.g. 'problems' to the search terms for articles about the problems to be returned.
Your position literally is the NATO is all the imperial capitalists in the world, and somehow Russia is not involved in either of those definitions and deserves to be apologized for. It’s internally inconsistent and is shill behavior.
You have an agenda, and it’s pro imperialist, as long as the imperialist is not the US. Congrats; If you were in the US, you’re dumb enough that you’d be shilling for Trump because “He’s gonna drain the swamp!”
You're only summarizing what the US Military Industrial Complex is saying, which isn't the US Military. National Defense Industrial Association != US Military, again going back to the "NATO is whatever I define it as" that you keep insisting.
Mark Milley is the mouthpiece of the US Military as the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and he's not mincing words: Russia will lose militarily in Ukraine. It will take time and blood, but the US is responsible for 34% of the world's military industrial output and claiming
Is not reality. We've only faced off once, and the Battle of Khasham did not go well for the "industrialized country determined to fight back"