Economics

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Risk of ‘Trumpcession’ rising, economists say, as global markets fall (www.theguardian.com)

submitted 1 week ago by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/economics@lemmy.world

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Summary

Economists warn that the risk of a U.S. recession is rising due to Trump’s unpredictable tariff policies.

Wall Street stocks fell sharply Monday, with the S&P 500 down 2.4%. Trump refused to rule out a recession, instead claiming it’s a “period of transition.”

Goldman Sachs raised recession odds from 15% to 20%, and Morgan Stanley cut its 2025 GDP forecast. Consumer confidence hit a four-year low, and the U.S. trade deficit widened to a record $131 billion.

Analysts say Trump’s tariff policy is fueling uncertainty and economic instability.

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[–] jsomae@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 week ago (5 children)

gold has like tripled in price over the past few years though. That's gonna come crashing down right?

[–] artificialfish@programming.dev 2 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Well it’s a volatile asset, but over a lifetime it trends upward, just not as fast as stock. My question to you is, with the debt, with climate change, with AI, with fascism, how much do you trust currency and stocks over your lifetime?

I’m considering PHYS and VDC as a hedge today when markets open.

[–] jsomae@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Looks to me like VDC has gone down just like the S&P500. Are you saying it's likely undervalued?

PSLV should also be a hedge like PHYS; it's also gone up, but not as much as gold. Could be safer.

[–] artificialfish@programming.dev 1 points 6 days ago

Hmm I see you’re right that VDC has a drop. It also had a drop in 2008. Maybe not.

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