this post was submitted on 23 Mar 2025
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I'd say China is probably aligned. Or do you mean something else?
Trump's USA tactics and partnership changes on a daily basis. So it's complete chaos, though it is clear Europe can not rely on that.
I think China is interested in the oil fields in Sibiria. If the Russian economy tanks, China can buy large parts of the country. It can buy oil fields so that all of their production is considered Chinese, and no taxes need to be paid for the Russia. And, if it's lucky, it can get the Russia as a kind of a vassal for itself.
This would work so that they would make sure the Russia will not lose the war, but also not win. Eventually the economy will tank, the war will end and China can step in. The longer the war lasts, the weaker Ukraine, the Russia and EU will all be. And that means, the better edge China has on gaining Russian assets for itself. With other ones getting weaker and China not, China gets a relative advantage.
Keep in mind: this is purely my own speculation, and I'm not an expert.
Well yes. China is playing the long quiet game, it's part of their strategy. They look for opportunities to see how they can take advantage.
Still, this doesn't acquit China of being co-instigator or co-sponsor of the Russian invasion. (ed)
True. But, if it looks like the Russia is about to win the war, it makes sense for China to decrease its support so that there won't be a victory. China needs the Russia to lose β only, after as long time as possible.
If I may ask: Why do you think Russia is winning. And why the focus on China in this context?
I think what must have happened is that I wrote a comment on Voyager, my android killed the app and when I restarted it, I accidentally opened a wrong link to send the mostly written comment to. Heh.
And no, I don't think the Russia can win, unless EU explicitly decides it should. And I don't think EU will do that. Trump can do a quite a bit to help the Russia, but most likely not enough for it to win.
But, we'll see.
Alright. And yes, I wasn't too fond of Yoyager personally. I prefer Jerboa.