this post was submitted on 27 Mar 2025
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[–] osmarks@lemmy.world 1 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

I wrote a blog post a little beforehand arguing essentially the opposite: https://osmarks.net/asi/

[–] dynomight@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Is this really the opposite? Reading that post, I find very little to disagree with.

[–] osmarks@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago

If I didn't come across as disagreeing with some of your claims I probably presented my case insufficiently forcefully.

I think Trump winning the election was knowable with better models of humans, though I don't explicitly state as much. I have a section arguing that the Being is less data-constrained than you imply. I mention economic doubling times in the month, as opposed to your implied years-or-so.