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Don't even care enough to do some basic research yourself? Lazy thinking is one reason we are in the huge clusterfuck we are experiencing as a society.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ai-jobs-layoffs-us-2025/ In case you can't motivate to click the link, here's the money shot:
If you think that's a fluke,
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/20/in-job-losses-ais-role-may-be-bigger-than-companies-say.html
And if you are one of those guys who considers these to be "woke" fake news sources, how about Forbes?
https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardnieva/2025/07/17/ai-tech-layoffs/
AP: https://apnews.com/article/ai-layoffs-tech-industry-jobs-ece82b0babb84bf11497dca2dae952b5
Fortune: https://fortune.com/2025/08/08/ai-layoffs-jobs-market-shrinks-entry-level/
Note that these are all very recent, but the data they reference goes back to the debut of ChatGPT.
2022 was the year a Trump tax law took delayed effect that hugely impacted the cost of software developers and similar IT roles — we are no longer R&D investment for tax purposes. You're right that it's impossible to disentangle AI numbers from that. You're right that executive hype can hurt jobs even if the reality is they are shooting themselves in the foot.
But the real deal is they are going to quickly find the most they can reduce headcount is 5-10% and most individual teams don't get enough of a boost to cut even one team member, so even those numbers are (IMO) unlikely to be realized.