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Figure out what percentage of the population needs to be vaccinated to keep the transmission rate below 1. See how many people are willing to vaccinate voluntarily, or accept quarantine as an alternative; if that's not enough, then start mandatory vaccinations beginning with those most at risk.
Throwing statistics at reality rarely goes well. There's a reason that every building, bridge, airplane, etc. has a "factor of safety".
Sure, if you have complete control of the process. But when you’re dealing with the public, erring too far on the side of apparent safety can spark a backlash that has the opposite effect.