this post was submitted on 06 Sep 2025
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Australia built 180,000 homes in 2024
Australia's immigration numbers were around 500,000 over the same period.
But no, that totally doesn't have any negative impact on housing affordability. /s
What's your source for these numbers?
Australian Bureau of Statistics
You seem to be under the impression that we will just magically build and build if people are gone, but that's not realistic. My point was that reducing immigration would significantly cut the number of houses built under the current housing market. We may be building too few homes now, but I doubt much at all will be built after cutting immigration either.
The problem is not that we have a housing market that's too big, it's that we have a broken market. Housing entering the market in this country may be insufficient when demand is high, but it's straight up not entering the market where demand is low, and housing prices are higher than ever everywhere. We need to figure out why the market is broken and fix that if we even want so see housing prices stabilise for an extended period, let alone fall. Reducing immigration is a distraction at best.
The number of people coming in to the country is FAR exceeding our ability to build. The first thing we need to do is reduce our intake (reduce demand) so we can catch up. I'm not saying we need to stop ALL immigration, just that right now, reducing immigration is one of the few levers we have to help alleviate the crisis. Then we can talk about removing Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax Concessions, maybe even put some limits on property investing.
What would you say are limiting factors on our ability to build then, if you think reducing immigration won't significantly reduce housing construction?
Why do you say immigration a lever to pull but not the factors limiting construction?
The limiting factor is government red-tape. It costs a lot of money and can take years just to get the approvals to start building.
Not to mention our whole tax system is geared to favor the rich. (Thanks Howard!)
I do agree with that, I suppose we probably disagree with the speed reforms can take then.
That's 500,000 coming in via immigration. This includes returning citizens. What is the number that left Australia during the same period? The data is available at the same location. You need to subtract one from the other and then look at that number and how it has changed over the last decade.
Fwiw, I do think we should cut immigration significantly, except for work visas for those sponsored for residential construction roles. I do agree that immigration is being mishandled right now. I just want you to look at the right numbers, as right now the shit you say dramatically weakens your arguments.
These can all be true at the same time. Your argument will be stronger if it is backed by facts.
Fyi, the real cause of the housing crisis is the CGT discounts brought in by the Howard government. That is what started the obscene increase in house prices, and it just keeps getting worse.