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The US has had 3400 mass shootings over the past decade(s) or so. This doesn't even involve single casualty shootings, which is thousands more. Chicago alone had more people dying due to gun violence during the Afghanistan war than US soldiers dying in the actual war.
With this much violence happening, and with a political climate this unstable, something like this is bound to happen. The odds of the shooter being a radicalised lone wolf is much, much higher than it being a false flag imo.
Instead of putting on our tin foil hats I think we should focus on spreading the word how adventurism is not going to solve our problems, but rather that we need to build a workers movement.