this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2025
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Science Memes

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[–] BlueMagma@sh.itjust.works 23 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I love that they put an error margin, which doesn't include 90 % of all the datapoints.

[–] DonPiano@feddit.org 16 points 3 days ago (1 children)

That's how a standard error with normal-ish data works. The more data points for the estimation of a conditional mean you have, the fewer of the data point will be within it. For a normal distribution, the SE=SD/√N . Heck, you can even just calculate which proportion of the distribution you can expect to be within the 95% CI as a function of sample size. (Its a bit more complicated because of how probabilities factor into this, but for a large enough N it's fine)

For N=9, you'd expect 26% of data points within the 95% CI of the mean For N=16, 19% For 25, 16% For 100, 8% For 400, 4% Etc

Out of curiosity: What issue did you take with the error margin not including most data points?

[–] DonPiano@feddit.org 12 points 3 days ago

Oops, should have multiplied those intervals with 1.96, ao here again:

9 - 49%

16 - 38%

25 - 30%

100 -16%

400 - 8%