this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2025
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I know no one here is part of the Russian government, so I'm not expecting concrete answers here.

What I'm asking is simply what will happen if [well, when, at this point] The Ukraine ends up...falling, per se?

That's a question in of itself really. Will Ukraine fight until the AFU collapses? Will there be a coup? Would a pro russian or neutral ukraine be established across all of what is currently the Ukraine, or will there be an attempt to make a "taiwan-ified" state in the west?

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[–] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Unilateral sanctions are definitely illegal.

As for the General Assembly voting to condemn Russia, they did so under extreme pressure from the West in 2022. The same goes for rulings by international institutions like the ICJ. All are vulnerable to threats, blackmail, political and media pressure. More recent UN votes have actually swung in favor of Russia. The global south is clearly on Russia's side.

The fact remains that Russia's intervention is legal according to article 51 of the UN charter pertaining to collective self-defense. Russia invoked this article when they accepted the call for aid from the newly recognized Donbass republics in 2022, which had the right to secede according to the internationally enshrined right of all people to self-determination, and which were clearly under attack by Ukrainian forces.

This is one-to-one NATO's Kosovo playbook, except it was actually legitimate this time and not backed by false claims. The West calling Russia's intervention illegal is tantamount to calling their own actions in Serbia illegal. The global south can see the hypocrisy.

[–] Cheburashka@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Upvoted :)

So yeah i totally agree with your angle here. So my reasoning to strictly adhering to international law is because, in a perfect world, a country which violates it is punished. And because the US commits the overwhelming majority of the war crimes, it would face the most sanctions under such a system. Feel free to let me know if you disagree, I am far from an expert on this conflict so I’m not gonna pretend to be :)