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this post was submitted on 07 Sep 2023
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TechTakes
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Starlink causing a Kessler event and grounding all spaceflight would be delicious irony, but I believe their orbits are too low for this to be a problem. Instead they just annoy astronomers and Russians.
@gerikson
On the other hand, Kessler wrote: "Some of the most environmentally dangerous activities in space include large constellations such as those initially proposed by the Strategic Defense Initiative in the mid-1980s"
SDI's Brilliant Pebbles originally proposed a 10,000 unit LEO constellation.
Starlink is already close to 5,000, and Musk wants 30,000. Add in the Chinese effort estimated at ~13,000. OneWeb has 500-600 up there.
Ugh apparently it won't stop Starships from fucking off to Mars
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome#Implications
OTOH the faster Musk fucks off the better so ...
@gerikson
"would pose minimal risk for launches continuing past LEO"
I suppose so, and yet you could say the same about aircraft flying over the launch site on launch day. A collision is unlikely due to the speed of the rocket and the short time it would be at aircraft altitudes.
But I'm pretty sure they still don't want anyone flying over the launch pad.