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this post was submitted on 29 Oct 2023
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An Iranian informant who gets intel from Russia most likely. Not gonna make excuses for them, but they're clearly being played by Iran, and Iran got the flare up it wanted. The US is already retaliating on Iran so I'd imagine there's some credence that Iran was deeply involved.
That is what my thought was right after the first attack. No one in Palestine could benefit from such an attack. Just Hamas leadership and most likely Iran benefits by sparking more problems in the region and getting Saudi Arabia to back track on having more ties with Israel.
Well likud also benefits. They get to literally level Gaza now- and they’ve always wanted this conflict.
Hammas also wanted this, even if they’re were idiots, for much the same reasons as Likud. They may not have fully considered the consequences, though. For its size, Israel has one of the best militaries in the world- even without US help/involvement… what’s happened so far has basically been inevitable.
Iran benefits even more though, and russia-by-proxy. Seems like the only people really. Losing are… civilians caught in the middle. The Israeli victims of Hamas, and the thousands of palistinians with no where else to go, just getting caught in it.
I am not entirely certain this conflict helps Likud. I honestly think once the dust settles, they might get punished by the israeli public
Perhaps they miscalculated, but they definitely wanted this.