66

A bold plan to spend $30 billion over ten years on wind, solar and storage and drag at least one of Australia’s big energy utilities into the promised green energy future has been formally laid to rest – a triumph, if that’s the word, of greed over climate concerns.

The $20 billion bid for Origin Energy by a consortium led by Canadian funds management giant Brookfield was voted down on Monday, sunk by proxies who voted more than 31 per cent against the offer. The scheme needed 75 per cent approval.

The opposition was led by Australia’s biggest funds manager, Australian Super, a fund roundly criticised in previous times for its support of Australian oil and gas giant Woodside Energy and, like other fund managers, more interested in buybacks and dividends from Origin’s LNG business than the switch to green energy.

The fact that greed trumps climate concerns in the corporate sector around the globe is perfectly visible: Anyone witnessing the enormous share buybacks and the go slow on the green energy transition in Big Oil and Big Auto should be under no illusions on this.

We shouldn’t be surprised. Super fund managers and corporate executives are judged and paid handsomely on the basis of short term performance indicators. There is no reward for long term vision. Or for following the science.

One small shareholder who spoke at Monday’s shareholder meeting summed it up thus: “It doesn’t make sense to shut down our coal fired power stations,” he said. “Keep paying the good dividends.”

Another shareholder said the board should question the science of climate change (because “nothing has happened”), and urged caution on the closure of Eraring, the country’s biggest coal generator at 2.88GW, in August, 2025 (subject to negotiations).

“There will be blackouts,” he said, to applause. The applause was repeated when it was announced that the bid was voted down.

The business press writing on the battle for Origin was full of the myopic short term benefits of rejecting the bid. Macquarie analysts, for instance, were quoted as saying Origin could tap into its LNG earnings and reward shareholders with even higher dividends if the bid was rejected, rather than invest in new wind and solar.

And then there was the bizarre spectacle of former Treasurer Paul Keating, from his vantage point from a high chair at privately owned global investment bank Lazard (the advisors to Australian Super) lambasting Brookfield for being a privately owned global management fund.

Keating’s main complaint was that Brookfield was looking to “apply the profits of Origin’s energy markets” to the $30 billion of planned investments. Oh, the horror of it all!

Keating insisted that Origin could do this without Brookfield. Of course it could, but it hasn’t and it likely won’t.

Which is probably why the Origin board itself recommended the bid. And if Brookfield invested as promised, and generated value by doing so, and then sold the company on at a profit as a reward for its foresight, so what?

The Macquarie assessment was the perfect summary of why the Brookfield bid should be supported. One, it was generous. Two, it was proposing to do what none of Australia’s legacy utility companies have done to date – take the opportunity of the green energy transition seriousl

There was not a single mention of support for doing what Brookfield had planned. Origin will presumably now continue to bumble into the future, knowing that its shareholders are greedy buggers who just want more payouts and don’t give two hoots about Australia’s renewable and emissions targets.

The irony is that they will probably be starved of long term value anyway. The expended Capacity Investment Scheme, where the federal labor government had decided to take a hands on approach to the roll out of 32 GW of wind, solar and storage, will not do any favours to the likes of Origin or the other legacy players.

The reality is that Origin, and the other big utilities, simply haven’t done enough work to be in a strong position to bid into the 8GW of auctions that the governments will hold each year for the next four years.

Origin CEO Frank Calabria told shareholders on Tuesday that the CIS will mean increased competition. “A lot of people will be competing for renewables and storage under this new scheme,” Calabria said.

Brookfield itself is reassessing the playing field in the light of the CIS expansion, and whether it will come back with a market, and likely much lower offer.

The market has already spoken – Origin shares are now back to $7.86, well below the $9.39 (at current exchange rates) offered by Brookfield.

Federal energy minister Chris Bowen has now guaranteed that the green energy will get built, whether Origin or Brookfield are in it or not. It’s hard to imagine the share price ever rebounding to the levels offered by Brookfield. And it’s hard to know whether Origin shareholders are cynical, greedy, or just misled. Or all of the above.

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] ephemeral_gibbon@aussie.zone 2 points 11 months ago

This falling through is a very good thing for avoiding the monopolisation of our energy landscape. Brookfields already owns the hv transmission in Victoria, as well as an electricity distributor there and a gas network.

Therefore, if they bought origin all of origins competitors would still have to use the assets brookfields owns. That doesn't set up a good and fair marketplace and long term would have really fucked the Australian consumer.

Brookfields was saying they'd do this spending in order to distract from the problems of this acquisition

[-] vividspecter@lemm.ee 2 points 11 months ago

I feel like that risk pales in comparison to the threat of global heating, and the ACCC agreed. Hard to believe that the spending claims are just a distraction too given there is plenty of opportunity for economic gain from renewables and they have the capital to back it up. We just have a bunch of selfish, simpleminded dinosaurs running our gentailers, and they have failed to see the obvious long-term money to be made.

[-] ephemeral_gibbon@aussie.zone 1 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

If they were buying it to build renewables, why were they okay to pay such a premium for it though? And why wouldn't they just set up a separate generation business that just built renewables? It's not like origin has a heap of experience in that space that they're leveraging.

When it can be connected to the grid there's lots of people happy to spend the money on renewables already, the big bottleneck is grid capacity and project approvals. We don't need this buyout to still get renewables investment.

Also the accc is too fucking toothless on competition. You just need to look at how much we pay for our own gas because of the gas cartel for an example.

this post was submitted on 04 Dec 2023
66 points (100.0% liked)

Aussie Enviro

904 readers
38 users here now

An Australian community for everything from your backyard to beyond the black stump.

🐢
Topics may include Aussie plants and animals, environmental, farming, energy, and climate news and stories (mostly Aus specific), etc.

🐧 Want a news or information source? Try one of these links below!

News

The Conversation
(Envt)

The Guardian
(Envt)

ABC News
(Envt)

ABC News
(Sci)

ABC News
(Rrl)

Independent Australia
(Envt)

Michael West Media

The Fifth Estate

The New Daily
(Life, Sci, Envt)

SBS News
(Envt)

The Saturday Paper
(Envt)

New Matilda
(Envt)

John Menadue
(Envt)

John Menadue
(Pub Pcy/Climate)

In Queensland News

InDaily
(Sci and Tech)

The AIMN
(Envt)

Westender (Envt and Climate)

Crikey
(Envt)

The Shot

4zzz

Sunshine Coast News

NoFibs

Sydney Morning Herald
(Envt)

The Age
(Envt)

Eureka Street
(Aus)

Open Forum

National Indigenous Times
(Envt)

The Independents

Science

Phys.org
(Aus)

Phys.org
(Aus and Envt)

Phys.org
(Plants and Animals)

Science.org
(News)

Particle.Scitech
(Earth)

Nature

CSIRO
(News)

AIMS
(Stories)

Botany.One

Science Daily (Envt)

Online Library.Wiley
(Srch Earliest)

Online Library.Wiley

The BOM
(Media Releases)

Australia Institute
(News)

Science in Public

Conservation

Nature Australia
(Newsroom)

Wilderness

Australian Conservation Foundation ACF

Biodiversity Council
(Stories)

Conservatioon Council of WA

Marine Conservation

Greening Australia

WWF, World-Wide Fund for Nature

WWF, World-Wide Fund for Nature
(Blogs)

Australian Wildlife

Nature Conservation Council for NSW

Bob Brown

Bush Heritage

Threatened Species Index

Queensland Conservation Council
(Blog)

Greenpeace

Minderoo Foundation
(Media)

Tangaroa Blue
(Features)

Environmental Defenders Office

North East Forrest Alliance

Aussie Bird Count

Education Institutions

Australia National University
(News)

Science @ ANU
(News/Evts)

University of Queensland
(News)

University of the Sunshine Coast
(News)

University of Technology, Sydney
(News)

University NSW
(News)

Queensland University of Technology
(News)

Griffith
(News)

University of Southern Queensland
(News)

University of Melbourne
(News)

Monash
(Lens)

Southern Cross
(Sci)

RMIT
(News)

Macquarie
(Lighthouse)

James Cook
(This is Uni)

Charles Darwin
(News)

University of Adelaide
(Envt News)

Deakin
(News and Media)

University of Newcastle
(News)

University of New England
(Connect)

University of Western Australia
(News)

Flinders
(News)

Murdoch
(News)

University of Western Sydney
(News Centre)

Curtin
(News)

Edith Cowan
(News)

Charles Sturt
(News)

University of Tasmania
(News and Stories)

University of South Australia
(News)

Misc

Farmers for Climate Action

Carbon Brief

TERN Ecosystem Research

Climate Council

EcoVoice

Takvera (J,Englart)
(Climate Citizen Blog)

Enviro Justice

Climate and Health Alliance

Australian Youth Climate Coalition

Jagun Alliance

Mongabay (Aus)

Australian Geographic

Greenleft

Carbon Pulse (Biodiversity)

Treehugger

EcoWatch (Aus)

Resilience

Regenfarming News

Modern Farmer

Renew Economy

Ecogeneration

InnovationAus

🐫

Trigger Warning: Community contains mostly bad environmental news (not by choice!). Community may also feature stories about animal agriculture and/or meat. Until tagging is available, please be aware and click accordingly.

🪲

Aussie Zone Rules.

  • Golden rule - be nice. If you wouldn’t say it in front of your ~~grandmother~~ favourite tree, don’t post it.
  • No bigotry - including racism, sexism, ableism, homophobia, transphobia, or xenophobia. You are allowed to denigrate invasive plants or animals.
  • Be respectful. Everyone should feel welcome here. Except invasive plants or animals.
  • No porn. Except photos of plants. Definitely not animals.
  • No Ads / Spamming. Except for photos or stories about plants and animals.
  • Nothing illegal in Australia. Like invasive plants or animals. Exotic microbes and invasive fungi also not welcome.
  • Make post titles descriptive with no swear words. Comments are a free for all using the above rules as a guide. Fuck invasive plants and animals.

🐝

/c/Aussie Environment acknowledges the Traditional Owners of the land, sea and waters, of the area that we live and work on across Australia. We acknowledge their continuing connection to their culture and pay our respects to their Elders past and present.

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS