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this post was submitted on 11 Feb 2024
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Of course. But that doesn't mean a ceasefire would help. Hamas needs to be removed. So not prolonging the war with a ceasefire might be the lesser evil.
This war is a huge recruiting campaign for Hamas. If you don’t know, Israel does for sure.
They need terrorists to be able to avoid negotiating with Palestinians and keeping the support of their allies in place.
Almost every young man who becomes 18 now is understandably full of hate against Israel. Every human being living in Gaza is traumatized now.
They’re being traumatized during the last 20 years. They lost grandparents, uncles, aunts, cousins, siblings, and parents in that time by Israeli bombs or snipers.
They have been going through six or seven "wars" that actually just have been Israel killing another several hundred or several thousand Palestinians. To keep Palestinian heads down Israel has been "mowing the lawn", as the IDF calls it.
This time the foreseeable terrorist attack was so humiliating that they think they might even get away with throwing every single Palestinian out of Israel (and for Netanyahu's government the state of Israel includes Gaza and Westbank).
Well, their big brother USA tells them he would prefer Israel not doing so. Not now. But Israel can be very sure that the USA will never really punish it just for breaking international laws. Neither will the rest of the Western world. And the rest of the world doesn’t have the power, so fuck'em.
The USA will politely ask Israel to let humanitarian aid go in. You know, just because the West doesn’t like to support genocide and ethnical cleansing – in the open.
Israel likes the world feeling pity for the Palestinians. Maybe that feeling might rise to the level that the West puts pressure on Egypt to let them go out of Gaza. Everybody knows from earlier experience that Israel would never let them return.
Alternatively they take a part of Gaza for new settlements leaving the Palestinians with even less space. While they're doing the same in the Westbank. Without the world even noticing.
Why can’t they negotiate with terrorists? The world negotiated with Zionist terrorists in 1947 and every one of them became a well respected Israeli politician.
But they don’t want to negotiate. Never did. They just want to take it all. And as long as the West continues to grant them impunity they will get what they want.
So they will go down the moment the American empire goes down. Or the USA changes its politics. Which could mean the same.
No, then they'll get desparate. And a desperate Isarel may indeed become genocidal. Simply killing all Palestinians is one of the options that remain if there's no longer a sufficient supply of precision ammunition. Napalm is dirt cheap and if you use enough of it you start a firestorm that wipes out the rest of the city. Alternatively they could use their nuclear arsenal.
As bad as this is, the danger here is not Israel being too strong, but it being too weak. My guess is that could work in the other direction as well. If America or Nato did directly aid with their troops there'd likely be far fewer civilian casualties.