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this post was submitted on 25 Feb 2024
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politics
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It only hurts her if Trump wins the presidency. She looks like the future of the party, or at least a 50/50 shot against DeSantis, if Trump loses. The 2nd place finisher in the Republican primary seasons historically became the nominee 4 years later.
Then there's also the possibility Trump gets disqualified, has some sort of bad health event/dies of old age, or gets convicted and loses enough support to cause a convention revolt. That's like a 5% chance combined, but Haley basically moonwalks to the presidency in those cases.
So like a 50% chance of having a good shot in 2024, and a 5% chance to outright become president. And all it costs is some Never Trump billionaires money and a coinflip chance she'll have to spend 4 years on the corporate circuit making millions of dollars to give speeches about perseverance. That's not a bad spot to be in.