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this post was submitted on 05 Mar 2024
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I used the wrong word, first phase is called "boost phase". but it's by far the most viable time to intercept if you can actually get the interceptor off targeting a ICBM because of their relatively slow speed compared to the mid-course (phase 2) and especially terminal (phase 3), as well as being much easier to blow up. The biggest issue is how close you need your defense systems, and SK korea might be close enough for a few of their launch sites, is my point.
Indeed, and this is exactly what i was hinting at. There is a reason why the US insists on building bases so close to their adversaries, and why in turn this poses such a large threat to those same adversaries.
If you get your missile interceptors or even just your radars stationed close enough to the enemy borders you may be able to negate their nuclear deterrent, which is an existential threat for a nation that relies on nuclear deterrence because then mutual destruction is no longer assured.
Moreover this massively increases the risk of nuclear conflict because then the country that has managed to negate its principal opponent's nuclear arsenal is incentivized to launch a nuclear first strike asap as they may not have this same window of opportunity later. Luckily the US can't do this to Russia no matter what because Russia still has nuclear submarines.