this post was submitted on 11 Apr 2024
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In essence, when the growth rate slows to a certain point, people are dying faster than they're being replaced, and the trend can only continue unless everyone starts having 10 kids.
It's a matter of job replacement. Maybe AI will partly help, or maybe we'll open our borders so immigrants can come end masse and do all the jobs we don't have enough people for, but unless extreme measures are taken once it gets to that point, civilization as we know it will collapse.
I'm by no means pro-forced birth. But birth rate decline is a serious issue.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392/
Yeah, it matters to capitalists who need an inexhaustible supply of exploitable workers.
For regular folk, it's not a problem.
As long as you either have many tens of millions, or you don't care about electricity, water, food, and you're extremely physically isolated and/or hidden very well and armed to the teeth, it shouldn't affect you much.
For the rest of us it's something to worry about. Infrastructure needs a lot of trained people to operate. Once the train gets going it doesn't stop, and that means as time goes on it gets worse and worse until it reaches a point of stability some X years after collapse. And you won't be able to freely and adaquetely hunt/pick your food if you're anywhere near a city until point X, because everyone else will be doing the same. Also some idiots will be bathing in the only still good stream near you with whatever leftover chemicals they can find.
Your country can open the immigration floodgates and become a country without borders (i.e. become whatever country is currently your neighbor) but that comes with similar problems listed above.
So as you can see, it's not an issue for a small privileged few. For the rest of us, its a big fucking deal. I would encourage you to look into it.
Not really, it's a matter of replacement. Plus we need a lot more people if we're going to become a multi-planet species for survival. Nothing to do really with capitalism.
Growth is growth. It's not tracking only births, it's tracking births against deaths. Population decline is people dying faster than they're being replaced, but even "very slow growth" would still mean the population is increasing.
There are countries that decline in population even though they try to offset it with immigration, Japan is ahead of everyone in that.
But every time someone talks about the decline in population they usually aren't afraid of people going extinct, they are afraid of working hands supply going low imo 🌚
Not anymore, Japan has one of the highest birthrates in Asia now.
Uh what. Source on that please?
https://fortune.com/asia/2024/03/12/asia-worlds-lowest-birth-rates-baby-bonus-not-working-singapore-south-korea-hong-kong-japan/
It's less "Japan's got higher" than "Japan's fell the slowest compared to other Asian countries"