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Aotearoa Daily Kōrero 4/8/23
(lemmy.nz)
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this post was submitted on 03 Aug 2023
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It does suggest rehabilitation isn't working though (assuming any increase is actually mostly from people who were previously convicted).
That said, crime stats seem to be so fraught, it's really hard to tell what's going on with any degree of precision
There's a lot to be said for having something in place to prevent the need for prison and rehab in the first place.
Not necessarily. If you have a 50% recidivism rate but hold less people in prison, crime rates will go up even if the rate doesn't change, simply because there are more people out of prison. Even if the recidivism rate goes down you may have more crime. But if over time the lower recidivism rate means less people go back to prison, over time you should see overall crime drop. This is probably a generatonal time period though. Short term higher crime rates for longer term gain.