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Donald Trump Suffers Triple Polling Blow in Battleground States
(www.newsweek.com)
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this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2024
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politics
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Worst case scenario for Biden is he's mostly absent and his cabinet has to guide him through policies making the Democratic party mostly in control.
Which is pretty much exactly what Trump's first term was adding in a lot of grift and pointless spite.
For real. Also I doubt Biden will try to start a coup to stay in power
And while there are exceptions (looking at you Garland), most of Biden's team are pretty solid. For example, I would keep Lena Khan exactly where she is regardless of which Democrat is in charge. He's got a lot more young smart staff than he gets credit for.
But that's almost exactly what the president is supposed to do. Like forget Bidens mental state right now, just talking about any president, one of the main reasons aside from their "vision" we vote for them is for their ability to judge individuals capabilities or to have the capability of knowing how to find those people. The administration should ideally be made up of experts in their respective areas that will guide the president. He just makes the final call as to whether to listen or not, we shouldn't expect him to know everything and to be able to work without "the administration."
It's one of the main reasons I loath Trump. I hate him as a person, but as a president I hate that he wants "yes men." He doesn't want guidance, he wants subservience to follow his will. That's one of the bigger problems with project 2025 as well, their purity tests and seeking of more "yes men" will cripple the government as they aren't lead by anything other than orders from above.
All that said, Biden does have to comprehend the guidance he's being given. All we can see from Biden is how he operates behind a camera and on the spot. I don't know if anyone has spoken about his capacity when he's "working." (Massive copium hit.)
If you narrow your scope to just the presidency maybe. The real worst case scenario is he completely fails to run an effective campaign and creates a huge red wave sweeping a big group of fascists into power.
He doesn't need a wave of them. He just needs to let this one in and it's all over.
Again, though, see how successful humphries was in 68. Don't change horses.
When the horse is dead you will not ride anywhere with it, period.
At least since half a year serious people talk about the fact that Biden is becoming too old for office and shows dementia. The DNC had a good year and quite frankly they should have already planned Bidens succession the moment he got into office. It was clear on Jan 6 that they need a new generation that can inspire and has the strength to fight against the Reps.
Now with every week passing Biden will show more and more that he is an old man whose mental capacities are diminishing at an alarming rate. Staying on this horse is a guaranteed win for the Republicans. Heck, even if Biden was voted in, he'll die of natural causes or become a vegetable within the next year. This will be a prime moment for the Reps to tear apart whatever Dem administration would try to emerge from that.
The only solution is a change of generation in the DNC. The old cabal will hand the nation over to fascism otherwise.
I think there is a world of difference between a Trump presidency with a democratic house and senate and a Republican supermajority. While both of these are unlikely, how close we are to one or the other will make a big difference in how effective the fascist takeover will be.
I personally think Trump is likely to win no matter who the candidate but having a stronger candidate will have a meaningful effect on other races that matter greatly.
Humphrey is only a single data point. We can’t draw much of a conclusion from a single event. Maybe Humphrey lost due to the nomination process but I think it’s more likely he was just a weaker candidate. Particularly regarding his pro-Vietnam war stance which was very controversial at the time.