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this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024
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Doubt it. The people, the actual Democratic voters, not numbers, know what's at stake, nobody is changing their vote over this, nobody is going to lose votes over this.
I feel like you're a little out of touch here.
There are hardline Democrats and Republicans who aren't going to change their positions over anything. There's also many people who don't pay close attention to politics and only pick up on big news like this. Those are the people that are going to be influenced unfortunately. These people exist. They are uninformed, easily influenced and they can swing the outcome unfortunately.
They're also the big group that the whole political campaigns are targeted to.
Do you actually know those people IRL? People on the fence? I haven't talked to anyone who hasn't already had their vote decided. The political climate has been the most divisive in my lifetime, to the point where the people I've spoken with IRL are either dug in with Trump or dug in against Trump. This scene doesn't change Trumps degressive views or awful policies. It doesn't change Trump from being a Felon or suspected pedophile.
If there are swing voters it's likely a really small number. At the end of the day the Democrats are dug in on Not Trump, and they have the numbers. They showed up for the last election, and the divisive politics have kept it in their peripheral since. RvW was huge, 2025 has been getting traction. There ain't many left that don't have their political compass set.