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this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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Fediverse
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I'm not sure I totally agree with that assessment. If we compare the sheer amount of resources and talent behind Meta vs. behind the Fediverse, it's clear that there's no way the Fediverse can ever compete in terms on innovation and features. Not to say that there aren't talented devs on the Fediverse - they're all pretty talented if you ask me - but Meta can just hire hundreds of similarly talented devs without even feeling the cost.
Really, the only way to prevent getting washed away by Meta (in development, in users, in culture, in basically just about everything) is to not associate with Meta at all. Co-existence doesn't mean we have to cooperate, after all. If the Fediverse shows that it has the userbase and staying power to withstand a full EEE "assualt" and remain standing, then I would be more inclined to take the "wait and see" approach. But I think as it stands now, Meta is very clearly trying to overwhelm the Fediverse before it has a chance to get going on its own merits
defederation. only way.
I honestly don't think Meta even cares about the Fediverse as we know it. Mastodon barely cracked 2.5m active monthly users in late 2022/early 2023, and the Fediverse user counts had been dropping until the Reddit debacle. There's no way they are agile enough to push this out the door in response to what happened in June, and this is a lot of effort to kill something already in decline with only 0.01% your active monthly user base.
Even so, what do they gain by killing Mastodon? Paying for the dev work and the server cost to host their own instance? All the data on the Fediverse that they'd want to sell is publicly accessible anyway; they could grab/sell it all without going through this effort. I think they see long term value in the ActivityPub protocol, and they are positioning themselves to get ahead of any other major corporate ActivityPub-based platform.
I suspect the intention is that if another major platform appears (BlueSky, anyone?) that it will pressure them to also implement ActivityPub, thereby increasing the pool of data on the Fediverse and letting Meta analyze and sell it too.