Can we trust the polls this year? (www.vox.com)

submitted 2 months ago by jeffw@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

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[-] just_another_person@lemmy.world 47 points 2 months ago

Nope. They haven't been useful since 2012, and every political analyst says so.

What IS reliable is the returns on ballots of inclusion for abortion care in every state that has had it so far. It's very clear that the turnout for pro-choice is magnitudes higher than polls, and we can expect the same for November.

But still, GO VOTE.

[-] DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social 1 points 2 months ago

Republican women are dumb as shit, that's not enough. That dropped literally right before midterms and they still got Congress seats.

[-] just_another_person@lemmy.world 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Whoa. No. Not even the case.

Look at every red state that has had a ballot on this issue. You're fucking dumb.

[-] vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Generally speaking, I would not look to republicans for help in winning this election. The question is whether you can find a way to increase turn out.

The democrats have been very bad at explaining why people should turn up to vote in the mid terms if they want to keep abortion legal. In a presidential year, and when there’s an abortion access measure on the ballot, the argument it’s easier to make.

TLDR: GOTV for mid terms sucks eggs.

[-] Zier@fedia.io 24 points 2 months ago

Polls mean nothing. Voting means everything.

[-] gatorgato@lemmy.world 22 points 2 months ago

No. Vote.

[-] Madison420@lemmy.world 14 points 2 months ago

Can the silent majority ever shut the fuck up?

[-] Big_Boss_77@lemmynsfw.com 9 points 2 months ago

[-] vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone 8 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Since the race is pretty much a complete tossup according to the polls, there isn’t much to trust.

The polls are shrugging and going “I don’t know man, you tell me”.

[-] some_guy@lemmy.sdf.org 2 points 2 months ago

“People can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. 14 percent of all people know that.”

[-] MediaBiasFactChecker@lemmy.world -4 points 2 months ago

Vox - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)

Information for Vox:

MBFC: Left - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source

Search topics on Ground.News

https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/370649/trust-polls-2016-2020-election-2024-pollster-polling-miss

Media Bias Fact Check | bot support

this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2024

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