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A bit late posting this one but i thought it wise to wait a few days for the fog to clear so to speak on whether the analysis is accurate. It's not always good to try to draw conclusions too soon after an event when not all of the information is available yet but it seems this is again a solid piece. The final section is the most interesting to me as it discusses broader geopolitical implications.

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[-] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 5 months ago

Very interesting article and these points are pretty interesting themselves:

Firstly, one of the common counterarguments is that Israel possesses nuclear weapons, which ultimately trumps anything Iran can throw at them. But in reality, now that Iran has proven the ability to penetrate Israel, Iran too can cause nuclear devastation by striking the Israeli Dimona nuclear power plant. Destroyed nuclear plants would produce far more radioactive chaos than the relatively ‘clean’ modern nuclear weapons. Furthermore, Israel is much smaller than the comparatively gigantic Iran. Iran can take many nuclear hits and survive; but a single mass nuclear event in Israel could irradiate the entire country, making it uninhabitable.

This by itself is a pretty big point, and with Iran's "New Equation" of responding "head on" to further colonist entity attacks on its personnel this could indeed mark a big shift in the dynamics of the region.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Personally i thought that was one of the weaker points in the article. I don't think that the "New Equation" is quite so balanced because while the Zionists would have no compunctions whatsoever about using nuclear weapons against Iran's civilians, i think that causing a nuclear disaster in occupied Palestine (or using nuclear weapons themselves which they could easily make if they ever wanted to) is just not something that Iran would ever do, for religious and moral reasons.

And i suspect that the US and the Zionists understand this and see it as a major weakness on Iran's part which lets the Zionists be confident in escalating knowing that they are prepared to go further than Iran ever would. In effect the neocolony is using the Palestinians as a human shield. And we have never seen the resistance axis be willing to be as ruthless as the Anglo-Zionists are, and perhaps that is not even a bad thing but it does mean that they have to rely on more asymmetrical means of retaliation.

[-] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 5 months ago

is just not something that Iran would ever do, for religious and moral reasons.

That is a good point.

Perhaps Iran could find a middle ground between nukes and doing nothing of the sort, like destroying all power generation of the colonists next time sothing happens or even iradiating oil wells, or just holding the US responsible for the colonists attacks because if they are already sending missiles to one nuclear armed entity they might as well send to two.!?

Either way, this attack has shown that they can and will do something, but how much they are willing to do against the imperialists is indeed still an open question.

this post was submitted on 17 Apr 2024
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