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I don't believe in fate and you do. That is where this abstract overlying philosophical element ends in a stalemate. Your statistics are assuming an oversimplified set of constraints and coming to arbitrary conclusions.
I do not believe in fate.
You should stop assuming things because you're not very accurate with your assumptions.
Do you want to speculate if the rounds fired are hand loaded or factory made? Maybe this specific batch of rounds had black pepper instead of gunpowder? Maybe the hammer will break just as he's about to shoot, what are the chances of the executioner having a stroke or an aneurysm? maybe your mom would be your dad if she had balls. And your grandma would be a bike if she had wheels.
I'm not going to debate elementary school level statistics with you. Option A and C both will give you ~33% chance of survival. But for you specifically. I'd recommend option B, for all of our sake.
You really earn that block