Even the identity politics is pretty shallow. They talk a big game about LGBT rights or the black community. But what do they really do? They didn't manage to pass an updated Civil Rights act to fix the most egregious Supreme Court rulings. They put Senate decorum and preserving the filibuster ahead of protecting our democracy. Or how about codifying Roe v Wade? Did that happen? Or how about something that was proposed that wasn't implemented - allowing doctors to set up abortion clinics on US government property in red states. That wouldn't have required any Congressional approval. Did that happen? No. Nothing. Using the full force of the Justice Department to come down on states that restrict trans rights? No, didn't do that either. Hell, Biden hasn't even managed to reschedule marijuana yet. His geriatric ass couldn't even get that done.

They talk a big game, but they deliver little. Ultimately they will always fall back to the idea that any serious attempt to help minorities will require 60 votes in the Senate, because the filibuster is just too sacred to let go, even if it's to help people. And even if they got 60 votes, just as with things that require only 51 votes, there will always be a rotating villain of the week ready to throw a wrench in the works. Republicans police their caucus and whip up their votes when needed on big issues. Democrats wring their hands and say, "well, he/she is from a conservative state, and we're lucky to have the seat at all!" This type of thing never seems to prevent Republicans from passing the legislation they want to. They always find a creative way to do it with a 50 vote majority, or they inevitably find a few dems willing to support some horrible bill in the name of "bipartisanship."

We are likely to see bills pass the Senate this term explicitly restricting trans rights. Sports and childhood access to medication will be the likely targets for first federal legislation. And you can be damn sure that there will be a good portion of the Democratic caucus voting for such measures. The centrist dems will quietly remove the pronouns from their email signatures, and they'll happily vote to restrict trans rights.