this post was submitted on 26 Jan 2025
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Depends.
Sometimes, when an empire collapses, those that pick up the shattered remains build something better and fairer for all. This is what happened after the Allies broke up the German and Japanese empires after World War II.
But the historical norm has been Balkanisation as the internal unity and peace that the empire once provided crumbles and the nations that arise in its wake squabble over the dwindling remaining resources of the dead empire. And since the empire is no longer around to enforce its laws, enable commerce, and keep the peace, what tends to happen is economic, scientific, and cultural regression as those that remain spend all their effort trying to take as many of the existing resources for themselves rather than creating more resources. That's what happened over the centuries-long collapse of the Roman Empire.
I'm of the opinion that the US will almost certainly balkanize, and maybe it really wouldn't be the worst thing for pretty much everyone (the world included). There's something like 14 distinct regional subcultures in the US, last I heard, and I could easily imagine the US splitting up largely around regional boundaries. The biggest source of tension I foresee is figuring out water rights between regions. Maybe splitting up around major regional watersheds would be the best way to go.
The west coast would gladly seperate. We're already economically self sufficient and culturally distinct from the rest of the nation.
Not to mention we have natural geographic barriers that makes defense easy